Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 192.201855 223.993472 260.908258 307.304815 364.575485 433.630577 5.242315e+02
2025-07-20 157.769798 199.646254 253.750216 330.272341 438.227054 589.110670 8.235495e+02
2025-07-27 133.067063 177.588319 239.303988 333.959137 480.920738 710.515835 1.119031e+03
2025-08-03 117.867783 164.056985 231.802418 342.897517 530.094097 852.987240 1.505248e+03
2025-08-10 104.675980 150.614957 221.103806 343.212333 563.660887 978.239552 1.918878e+03
2025-08-17 95.287725 141.188060 214.512702 348.041329 605.158233 1130.748759 2.471644e+03
2025-08-24 86.579767 131.459916 205.625201 346.589407 633.793777 1266.780676 3.070524e+03
2025-08-31 79.562705 123.493955 198.358334 346.380769 664.437584 1418.403423 3.820886e+03
2025-09-07 74.505918 118.142032 194.773916 352.349604 709.677756 1623.534251 4.912429e+03
2025-09-14 67.324038 108.291724 181.710357 336.773413 701.807484 1687.158643 5.567923e+03
2025-09-21 62.998722 103.035989 176.510240 336.687899 731.114781 1868.900041 6.897633e+03
2025-09-28 59.314161 98.546255 172.183206 337.679615 763.514557 2076.345603 8.623311e+03
2025-10-05 57.763672 98.238029 176.812722 361.771519 871.274555 2618.612230 1.332265e+04
2025-10-12 56.447572 98.284816 182.337783 389.900105 1004.634925 3376.850737 2.200029e+04
2025-10-19 53.238659 94.245809 178.659840 394.439620 1068.622153 3916.704795 3.142351e+04
2025-10-26 50.860099 91.585436 177.562274 405.468212 1159.624705 4683.007851 4.840967e+04
2025-11-02 47.977316 87.580462 172.901502 405.856939 1214.351964 5332.876025 7.001361e+04
2025-11-09 45.739517 84.686522 170.390961 411.822259 1293.845106 6241.158030 1.098675e+05
2025-11-16 43.246951 81.006087 165.559382 410.028193 1342.836704 7035.649719 1.646481e+05
2025-11-23 41.072452 77.809413 161.494034 409.770424 1399.496801 7993.185638 2.598532e+05
2025-11-30 39.485033 75.749841 159.953698 417.148230 1495.298321 9467.939561 4.801921e+05
2025-12-07 36.713193 70.825998 150.709233 397.910133 1458.109863 9689.622066 6.198025e+05
2025-12-14 35.082986 68.345913 147.412415 397.804648 1516.569074 11016.986950 1.135308e+06